As the US election results near their end, speculation is rising about the potential impact on the Indian economy and domestic equity markets. Experts believe that a clear outcome could provide relief and stability in the markets, potentially leading to increased trade relations with the US. However, a Republican-led government under Trump could also result in a more protectionist stance and increased tariffs, which could have consequences for sectors like pharmaceuticals and IT. The delay in US rate cuts could also impact FPI flows into India and create challenges for the RBI in managing domestic inflation.
Impact of the US Elections on the Indian Economy and Equity Markets
As the nail-biting US election nears its conclusion, analysts and investors alike are eagerly scrutinizing the potential implications for the Indian economy and domestic equity markets. Here's an in-depth look into the anticipated consequences:
Potential Impact of a Clear Outcome
A swift and decisive resolution could provide much-needed relief and stability to the markets. A clear winner would reduce uncertainty and boost investor confidence, leading to increased trade relations between the US and India.
Republican Victory and Protectionism
Should the Republicans retain control of the government under President Trump, a more protectionist stance is likely. Increased tariffs could have adverse effects on sectors such as pharmaceuticals and IT, which heavily rely on exports to the US.
Impact on FPI Flows
The delay in US rate cuts could also play a role. A prolonged period of low interest rates may result in reduced foreign portfolio investment (FPI) flows into India, creating challenges for the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in managing domestic inflation.
Historical Context
Past US elections have also influenced the Indian economy:
Top 5 FAQs and Answers
Q1: How might a Republican victory affect Indian IT companies? A: Increased tariffs on IT services could lead to higher costs and reduced revenue for Indian IT companies.
Q2: What impact can a delayed US rate cut have on Indian markets? A: It could reduce FPI inflows and lead to rupee depreciation, putting pressure on the RBI's inflation management.
Q3: What does a clear election outcome mean for trade relations between India and the US? A: A decisive winner could pave the way for stronger trade ties and increased investment flows.
Q4: How did the 2016 US election affect the Indian stock market? A: Indian markets experienced a temporary decline due to fears of escalating trade tensions and protectionist measures.
Q5: What is the potential impact of a Republican-led government on the Indian pharmaceutical industry? A: Increased tariffs on pharmaceutical products could reduce exports and hurt Indian companies.
Adani Group is under scrutiny for alleged violations of disclosure norms concerning a US bribery case and the subsequent cancellation of major deals by Kenya. While the conglomerate has denied any involvement in the case, stock exchanges have sought explanations and experts believe that the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) may launch an investigation. The allegations, which include a criminal indictment and a civil complaint, could have significant consequences for Adani Group's reputation and access to international markets.
Outlandish, an e-commerce startup, is opening a new brick-and-mortar store in Santa Monica's 3rd Street Promenade, featuring a first floor of branded stalls and a second floor for shopping. The store aims to mix live online selling with in-person retail, as visitors can watch influencers and sellers on livestreams and even join in themselves. The concept taps into the growing trend of live shopping in the US, with TikTok itself actively promoting and hosting events centered around live selling. This move by Outlandish is in line with TikTok's efforts to recreate the success of its Chinese sister app, Douyin, which drives billions in annual product sales.
The highly volatile Mad cryptocurrency has seen a massive surge of 67% in the last 24 hours, trading at $0.00006226 as of 02:49 a.m. EST. This sudden spike in price, along with a heavy overbought RSI level of 86, signals a potential correction or pullback in the near future. However, the Mad price has managed to break above both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating a strong and sustained bullish trend. The ADX value above 60 also confirms the strength of this rally. Stay updated on this exciting development by joining our Telegram channel.
In a note released on Friday, JPMorgan addressed concerns over potential credit risk for Indian banks heavily exposed to the Adani Group, following the recent indictment of its billionaire founder, Gautam Adani, in the US. While the charges have sparked a drop in shares of state-owned banks, JPMorgan analysts have deemed the banks' exposure "manageable," with their assessment showing a low risk of default from the Adani Group. However, global and local banks are expected to take a cautious approach in providing any new funding to the conglomerate, with potential for higher interest rates due to heightened risks.
In a state of the nation address, Kenya's President announced the cancellation of major deals with Indian tycoon Gautam Adani, including an airport expansion project and power transmission lines. This decision was made in light of U.S. bribery and fraud indictments against Adani, who has been charged with securities fraud and conspiracy. The controversial deals had faced backlash from Kenyan protesters and airport workers concerned about potential job losses. Despite claims from Kenya's Energy Minister that no corruption was involved on their part, the country has now severed ties with Adani's conglomerate.
X's new terms of service, which allow the company to use user data and hold users accountable for overusing the platform, are prompting long-time users, including celebrities like Gabrielle Union, to leave the popular microblogging platform. In response, many users are turning to Bluesky, a microblogging startup, with its U.S. mobile app downloads increasing by an estimated 651% since the start of November. Despite X and Meta's larger user bases, Bluesky's growth suggests many users are looking for alternatives to X's new terms.
Zomato’s new “Food Rescue” feature caught the attention of Bengaluru resident Bhanu who offered practical and thoughtful suggestions to CEO Deepinder Goyal. Impressed by his insights, Goyal extended an unexpected job offer to Bhanu, a product manager working for a startup. This positive exchange highlights the importance of hiring talented individuals who offer practical solutions to enhance a company’s operations. Zomato, known for handling over 4,00,000 cancelled orders per month, aims to prevent food wastage with their new feature, which offers discounted meals to customers within a 3km radius of a delivery partner with a cancelled order.
Zerodha co-founder and CEO Nithin Kamath shared a humorous mock obituary for Bank Nifty Weekly contracts on social media. The post, created by one of his old trader friends, announced the "passing" of Bank Nifty Weekly and mentioned its struggles with regulation. The post has since gone viral, with many traders reminiscing about their experiences with this contract.
The Zee Business research team has compiled a list of 20 stocks for investors and traders to track on November 22, 2024. Analysts Kushal Gupta and Ashish Chaturvedi have highlighted their top picks, including buying Orchid Pharma and SJVN shares for immediate profits, and investing in MRF, Radico Khaitan and Afcons Infrastructure for long-term gains. Technical and fundamental picks are also included, making this Traders' Diary a must-read for all stock market enthusiasts.
Billionaire Elon Musk has confirmed that X, formerly known as Twitter, has become the number-one news app on Apple's AppStore in India. Musk acquired X for a whopping $44 billion in October 2022. This news comes after user 'DogeDesigner' shared a post about X's success on the AppStore. Stay updated on the latest Business news, stock market updates, and financial tips through Zee Business's Twitter, Facebook, and YouTube channels.