The India TV-CNX exit poll predicts that the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) may win 1-3 seats in Kerala's Lok Sabha election in 2024, making it the first time the party would open its account in the state. The United Democratic Front (UDF) is predicted to win 13-15 seats, while the incumbent Left Democratic Front (LDF) is expected to bag 3-5 seats. This would be a significant victory for the BJP, who has been trying to make inroads in southern states, along with a strong performance in Tamil Nadu. However, these are exit poll results and should be viewed with caution due to potential sampling errors and biases.
BJP Poised to Break into Kerala's Lok Sabha, Exit Polls Hint
Recent exit polls conducted by India TV-CNX have forecasted a major breakthrough for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Kerala's upcoming Lok Sabha elections in 2024. The polls predict that the BJP could clinch 1-3 seats, marking the first time the party has won any seats in the state.
This potential victory would be a significant milestone for the BJP, which has been actively trying to expand its footprint in southern states. It would also bolster the party's performance in Tamil Nadu, where it is also projected to do well.
Current Exit Poll Predictions
Background
Kerala has traditionally been a stronghold of the Left Democratic Front (LDF), a coalition of left-wing parties led by the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)). The LDF has held power in the state for several terms, including the current government led by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan.
However, the BJP has been trying to make inroads into the state for several years. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the party won no seats but secured a significant vote share of 15.6%.
The upcoming elections will be crucial for both the BJP and the LDF. A victory for the BJP would signal a major shift in the political landscape of Kerala, while a defeat for the LDF could indicate a weakening of its grip on power.
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