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Shiv Sena's Victory in Mumbai Assembly Seats: Was it Due to MNS' Division of Votes?

December 3, 2024 at 08:35:23 PM GMT+5:30

In the recent Maharashtra assembly elections, Shiv Sena (UBT) led by Uddhav Thackeray won 10 out of the 36 assembly seats in Mumbai, with 3 seats won by a margin of less than 2,000 votes. MNS, even though failing to win any seats and facing derecognition, caused divisions in Mahayuti's vote share in 10 seats, leading to Shiv Sena's victory. This was seen in seats like Worli, Mahim, Bandra East, and Vikhroli, where MNS candidates split the vote, resulting in the win for Shiv Sena candidates.

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Raj Thackeray's MNS: The Spoiler that Helped Shiv Sena in Mumbai

The recent Maharashtra Assembly elections witnessed a closely contested battle in Mumbai, where the Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena (UBT) emerged victorious in 10 out of the 36 assembly seats. Notably, the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS), led by Raj Thackeray, played a significant role in influencing the outcome, despite failing to win any seats itself.

Background

The MNS is a regional political party founded by Raj Thackeray in 2006. It is primarily based in Maharashtra and espouses a strong Marathi identity. In the 2014 Maharashtra Assembly elections, the MNS won seven seats and emerged as a force to reckon with. However, its performance declined in the 2019 elections, where it failed to win any seats.

Role in the 2022 Elections

Despite its electoral losses, the MNS remained a formidable force in Mumbai. It fielded candidates in 22 assembly constituencies in the city, effectively dividing the votes in the Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) alliance that included Shiv Sena (UBT), Congress, and the Nationalist Congress Party (NCP).

In key constituencies such as Worli, Mahim, Bandra East, and Vikhroli, MNS candidates polled a significant number of votes, splitting the Mahayuti (BJP-Shiv Sena) vote share. This ultimately benefited the Shiv Sena (UBT), which managed to win narrow victories in these seats.

Consequences of MNS's Performance

The MNS's performance highlighted its ability to influence elections even without winning seats. It caused a division in the opposition vote, preventing the Mahayuti alliance from making significant gains in Mumbai. This resulted in the Shiv Sena (UBT) emerging as the dominant force in the city.

Top 5 FAQs

  1. Why did the MNS fail to win any seats in the 2022 elections?
    • The party's declining popularity and lack of a clear message resonated with voters.
  2. How did the MNS help Shiv Sena (UBT) win seats?
    • By splitting the opposition vote, the MNS candidates siphoned off votes from the Mahayuti alliance, allowing Shiv Sena (UBT) to win narrow victories.
  3. What is the future of the MNS?
    • The party's performance in the 2022 elections has raised questions about its relevance. It remains to be seen whether it can regain its former glory.
  4. What is Raj Thackeray known for?
    • Raj Thackeray is known for his fiery speeches and his strong advocacy for Marathi identity.
  5. What is the relationship between Raj Thackeray and Uddhav Thackeray?
    • Raj Thackeray and Uddhav Thackeray are cousins, but their relationship has been strained in recent years due to political differences.
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