The seventh and final phase of Lok Sabha elections 2024 is set to conclude, bringing an end to the month-long poll season in India. All eyes are now on the exit poll predictions, with India TV-CNX making their own predictions. It remains to be seen if PM Modi's 'Abki Baar 400 Paar' will outshine Rahul Gandhi's 'Save Constitution' call. In the 2019 elections, the BJP-led NDA won a sweeping victory with 353 seats, while the UPA trailed behind with only 91 seats.
India's Lok Sabha Elections 2024: Exit Poll Predictions and Background
After a month-long poll season, the seventh and final phase of Lok Sabha elections 2024 is concluding. India is eagerly awaiting the exit poll predictions, including those from India TV-CNX. These predictions will provide insights into the potential outcome of the election, which has been closely contested between the ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and the main opposition Congress party.
Background
The Lok Sabha is the lower house of India's Parliament and is directly elected by the people of India. Elections are held every five years to elect 543 members to the Lok Sabha. The party or coalition with the majority of seats forms the government, with its leader serving as Prime Minister.
The 2024 elections were the 17th general elections held in India since its independence in 1947. The elections were conducted in seven phases from March 27 to May 25, 2024.
Exit Poll Predictions
Exit polls are conducted by various media organizations on the day of the elections, where voters are asked about their opinions and voting patterns. These polls provide an early indication of the possible results.
According to India TV-CNX, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is likely to emerge victorious in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections. The poll predicts that the NDA will win 300-310 seats, while the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) will secure between 110-120 seats.
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Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis has described the recent clashes in Nagpur as a planned conspiracy, with rumors playing a major role in the escalation of tensions. The violence broke out during a protest by right-wing groups demanding the removal of a grave. Fadnavis has condemned the attack on police and called for swift action against those responsible for spreading false information. The incident has reignited debates about the role of social media in inciting violence and the importance of addressing rumors in maintaining law and order.
A protest by a right-wing outfit turned violent in Nagpur as two groups clashed over the removal of Mughal emperor Aurangzeb's tomb. Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis has urged people to maintain law and order, while Congress leader Pawan Khera has questioned the situation in a city known for its peaceful history. With curfew imposed and strict action promised against the perpetrators, the incident has sparked debates about communal harmony and political agendas.
A clash between demonstrators from the Durga Prasai group and Yuwa Sangh, the youth wing of CPN-UML, in the Balkhu area of Kathmandu has turned the city into a ghost town. Despite the District Administration Office's permission for demonstrations in different locations, a clash broke out between the two groups when Yuwa Sangh members arrived in Balkhu. The situation has been brought under control by the intervention of police, but there is heavy security presence and minimal traffic in the affected areas.
In a recent development, the Uttar Pradesh government has made e-KYC mandatory for all ration cardholders. Failure to complete this process by February 15, 2025, will result in the cancellation of ration cards and will make beneficiaries ineligible for free ration. The government has also directed ration dealers to raise awareness about this requirement and is urging beneficiaries to complete their e-KYC as soon as possible. The main goal of this initiative is to eliminate fake units from the system and ensure that only genuine and eligible beneficiaries receive the benefits of this scheme.
Following tensions and violence in Nagpur over protests by the Vishwa Hindu Parishad (VHP) demanding the removal of Mughal emperor Aurangzeb's tomb, Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis declared that the government is obligated to protect the tomb, but will not allow any attempts to glorify his legacy. The Opposition has also called for the ouster of a BJP minister who allegedly made provocative statements leading to the violence. Meanwhile, a member of the royal family in Nagpur has called for strict punishment for those responsible, stating that locals were not involved and that outsiders and anti-social elements were responsible for the incident.
Following a right-wing protest, rumors of Quran burning sparked violent clashes in Nagpur, injuring four people and causing widespread chaos and destruction. Politicians and leaders, including Maharashtra Chief Minister Devendra Fadnavis and Union Minister Nitin Gadkari, have appealed for calm and denounced the false rumors. BJP MLA Pravin Datke has alleged that the violence was instigated by outsiders, and security forces have been deployed to contain the situation.
The opposition BJP members in the Himachal Pradesh Vidhan Sabha caused a commotion during Question Hour as they accused the Congress government of not responding to their queries on funds released by a cooperative bank. The Deputy Chief Minister's response that information is being collected was met with dissatisfaction, as the BJP claimed to already have information that Rs 50,000 was released to multiple Mahila Mandals during the code of conduct period. The Leader of Opposition then accused the government of trying to hide information and questioned if the grants were released in other places as well. However, the Speaker deemed the BJP's actions to leave the House as unwarranted and against the rules, while the Deputy Chief Minister pointed out that even when they were in opposition, they did not receive replies to many questions.
In a controversial incident, popular social media personality Orry, along with a group of friends, has been booked by the Jammu and Kashmir police for allegedly consuming alcohol in a prohibited area near the holy Vaishno Devi shrine in Katra. The FIR also includes a Russian national, sparking concerns of foreigners violating local customs and hurting religious sentiments in the region. The case has caused uproar in the political sphere, highlighting tensions surrounding the protection of religious norms and the influence of social media on youth behavior.
During a three-hour podcast with AI researcher Lex Fridman, Prime Minister Narendra Modi praised US President Donald Trump for his unwavering commitment to his nation, resilience in the face of attempted assassinations, and humility in sitting among the audience during the iconic "Howdy Modi" event in Houston. Modi also noted their shared commitment to prioritizing their nations' interests and expressed faith in Trump's preparedness and vision for his second term. He also called for greater personal interactions between global leaders, instead of relying on media perceptions.
The All India Muslim Personal Law Board (AIMPLB) has taken to the streets to protest against the Waqf (Amendment) Bill, which seeks to amend existing laws governing properties donated for religious or charitable purposes. While the BJP insists that the Bill is necessary to safeguard national interests, opposition parties like AIMIM and Samajwadi Party have called it a "black Bill" and criticised the lack of democratic process in its formulation. As the political and social divide on the matter widens, uncertainty prevails over the future of the Bill.